The moment the news was released by the AIADMK, the ruling party headed by Ms.Jayalalitha, the news attained paramount importance. The broad dimensions of discussion of this expulsion has been:-
(1) Does this mean the "Beginning of Wisdom" for Jaya or
(2) A "Temporary Arrangement" within AIADMK? or
(3) With just few days left for the General Body Meeting of the AIADMK, is it a political gimmick for misleading the spectators and partymen?
Let me examine the assumptions that has been the centre for discussion among people around.
(1)"Does it mean the beginning of Wisdom" for Jayalalitha?"
There were never a single moment in her career Jayalalitha was sans wisdom - so would say any one who is around her. This action of expelling Mrs.Sasikala, her aide for more than two decade is certainly not an easy decision for Jayalilatha. She knews that Mrs. Sasikala and her aides would know every minute details of Jayalalitha and her transactions in Political spheres as the party High Command. Hence this decision was an acid test and Jaya has succeeded in this - Definitely, at a personal level, its a hard decision for Jayalalitha. Hence this expulsion only underscores Jaya's assertiveness that she is above all - including Sasikala.
(2)A Temporary Arrangement within AIADMK
I really do not know how to react with this popular opinion that Jaya, wants to please the Party - Ridiculous! AIADMK was never a organised, hierarchical, political party- The first, second and third levels of Decision making is "Amma" and "Amma" alone. No other political party in Tamil Nadu exist, thrive with this strange paradoxical situation in Democracy. Ministers, Members of Legislative Assembly see her as their Goddess and party-membership in AIADMK mean a devotee of AMMA. Its also an un-explainable phenomena how people approve her "One Woman Show", which Mr.Karunanidhi could never dream of in-spite of his far better diplomacy and political maneuvers than Jayalalitha.
Hence, the expulsion by Jayalalitha is to please her party members is a illogical stand as AMMA means AIADMK and AIADMK means AMMA and she is the uncrowned and unquestionable authority, who need not think of pleasing her partymen with this expulsion.
(3) Is it a political gimmick to mislead people?
I do not think so because Jayalalitha is not a person who is bothered about the impact of her actions.
Then Why this decision?
Survival. Survival Alone. There could not be a second thought that Ms.Jayalalitha could have gathered incriminating evidence that the expelled people are working not against the party but against her - which mean, her wrath against Ms.Sasikala and Co, cannot be better rationalized, unless they have tried to Jeopardize Jaya's political career, that too when the "Disproportionate Asset Case" is getting closer. Undoubtedly this incident could not have aimed predominantly against Sasikala but she would have been trapped in cross fire,when Amma started firing.
Will Jayalalitha and Sasikala reunite?
However, going by the past history of Jaya- Sasi stand offs, no one is sure that this impasse would continue for ever as many times in the past the two have rejoined - That is the reason why even people in AIADMK at higher level are cautious in reacting and rejoicing the expulsions.
The case of Karunanidhi - Shanmuganathan Reunifications
There is a same case history in DMK too.Mr.Shanumganathanthe five decade Private Secretary of Mr.M. Karunanidhi, the DMK Leader, who was also Karuna's Shadow separated and reunited often on petty personal clashes. Mind that there is no emotional attachment between Karuna and his Secretary Shanmuganathan, except that both belong to the same place and caste, unlike Jaya and Sasi who call each other as" Foster Sister" and a joint partner in many capital investments
Sacrificial Goats - The Civil Servants of Tamil Nadu
God alone knows the number of Civil Servants who were axed/ transferred before they actually know the reaon why they were transferred since the past two decades. Not knowing which side to take, many officers sacrificed themselves at the dearest cost of democracy that led them to compulsory waiting for about five to six months( half a year, who are innocent victims of Jaya-Sasi Deadly combination: ).The large population of affected population ( including the "to-be affected" of bureaucrats would have had an extra sweet to savor with their dinner on hearing the eviction news.
Also one has to accept that not all civil servants face these musings. Why? - I leave this to the consciences of the bureaucrats.In any case impersonal and neutrality as enunciated in 'Weberian Model', stands good for all times.
What Next?
This move of expulsion, hardly a week ahead of ADMK's General Body meeting should be a surprise package and apparently might be a temporary arrangement. But one thing is clear: AIADMK is AMMA's strong hold.This eviction proceeding is undoubtedly a thunderbolt for the aides of Sasikala, playing around in AIADMK Party as Power Centres.Today is not a good day for them. However Sasikala who would probably return soon to stay in ‘Veda Nilayam’, the official residence of the Chief Minsiter of Tamil Nadu, as her foster sister within few days/weeks if not!
The announcement of expulsion can only expel Sasikala from AIADMK Party but can certainly have no scope beyond that as history have always indicated that Sasikala has been the moral strength of Jayalalitha!
Let’s wait and watch!
Loyal Party-men who shout praises for Jayalalalitha for her "weeding action" also should know they are being watched!
My Observation as a student of Political Science & Public Administration
1. How strange? - A decision in a family has its effect in the State's Politics and Administration and the vice versa - an indicator that the political parties of Tamil Nadu coming to power, supposed to be the operating system for the Government for the next Five Years are thoroughly personalized and de-institutionalized (Atul Kohle's observation on "Governability Crisis in India" is getting validated)!
2. Whether its DMK or ADMK, in TN politics, the actors,plot and the climax are very similar to each other(A valid research area for tabulation and comparison at least for a M.A Dissertation)!
3. This is the sorry state of political affairs in Tamil Nadu! These are the moments I think of 49(O) - The Right to record that " I AM VOTING NONE" in the 'Electronic Voting Machine'(EVM) at the time of elections, which could check the process of "electing a political party" for lack of choice( A good question for a random survey across tamil Nadu best suited to be conducted at this time).
WHAT IS THIS 49(O)? The simpler version of the 'Right to Recall'.
How?: I shall write about that in due course!
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